Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000097 0.000102 0.000108 0.000114 0.000120 0.000127
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000093 0.000101 0.000109 0.000119 0.000131 0.000144
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000082 0.000090 0.000100 0.000111 0.000125 0.000141 0.000161
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000086 0.000096 0.000109 0.000126 0.000145 0.000172
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000085 0.000096 0.000112 0.000131 0.000156 0.000191
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000081 0.000094 0.000110 0.000132 0.000160 0.000202
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000078 0.000091 0.000109 0.000132 0.000164 0.000212
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000077 0.000090 0.000109 0.000135 0.000170 0.000227
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000076 0.000091 0.000111 0.000139 0.000180 0.000248
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000074 0.000088 0.000108 0.000138 0.000181 0.000255
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000070 0.000085 0.000105 0.000135 0.000179 0.000256
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082 0.000103 0.000133 0.000178 0.000260
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000065 0.000078 0.000098 0.000128 0.000174 0.000258
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000064 0.000079 0.000100 0.000132 0.000184 0.000285
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000064 0.000079 0.000101 0.000137 0.000195 0.000314
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000100 0.000136 0.000198 0.000328
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000062 0.000078 0.000102 0.000142 0.000211 0.000367
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000060 0.000076 0.000101 0.000142 0.000214 0.000385
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000059 0.000075 0.000100 0.000141 0.000217 0.000401
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000074 0.000100 0.000143 0.000224 0.000433
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000058 0.000075 0.000101 0.000148 0.000237 0.000483
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000057 0.000073 0.000099 0.000146 0.000237 0.000495
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000055 0.000070 0.000096 0.000142 0.000232 0.000490